FOOTBALL SIMULATOR
Verified snapshot activeInitializing the result connector
100,000 runs stable
RUN f7087d41 100,000 SEASON PATHS 380 FIXTURES 437 VERIFIED MOVEMENTS 25-MATCH FORM WINDOW ARSENAL 48.6% TITLE 0 RESULTS LOCKED RUN f7087d41 100,000 SEASON PATHS 380 FIXTURES 437 VERIFIED MOVEMENTS 25-MATCH FORM WINDOW ARSENAL 48.6% TITLE 0 RESULTS LOCKED
THE FOOTBALL SIMULATOR · 2026/27 LIVE FORECAST

Premier League Simulator 2026/27Every match reshapes the season.

The Football Simulator uses HORIZON to turn every Premier League fixture, sustainable form signal and confirmed transfer into a living probability map. It forecasts all 380 matches, plays the campaign through 100,000 seeded paths and recalculates every race as new evidence arrives.

official fixtures season paths transfer signals
HORIZON LIVE OUTPUTRUN f7087d41
Projected championArsenal
title probability
ARS
48.6%
MCI
23.9%
CHE
11.4%
LIV
4.1%
Verified snapshot activeHORIZON 6.2
Forecast leaderArsenal73.6 mean points
Tightest openerNEW v LIVOutcome entropy 1.08
Transfer recordsConfirmed snapshot inputs
Completed resultsLocked into future runs
CONSENSUS TABLE

Projected finishing order

PosClubMean pts90% rangeTitleTop 4Relegation
173.660–8749%89%0%
269.155–8324%76%0%
364.149–7911%54%0%
459.946–744%34%1%
558.644–733%30%2%
657.143–712%22%2%
755.241–692%17%3%
85541–691%16%3%
TOP PROBABILITIES

Title race

01
49%
02
24%
03
11%
04
4%
05
3%
BOTTOM THREE RISK

Relegation pressure

01
80%
02
51%
03
42%
04
34%
05
21%
OPENING WEEKEND

First signals of the new season

WINDOW SIGNAL

Largest strength movements

INGESTION HEALTH

Evidence pipeline

AUTO CHECK
Premier LeagueOfficial 380-fixture schedule and confirmed transfer index
verified snapshot
Fantasy Premier League JSONAutomatic score, status and kickoff refresh
live connector
football-data.orgResults redundancy and competition metadata
optional key
API-FootballConfirmed XIs, formations and player availability repricing
optional key
2026/27 FOOTBALL PREDICTION CENTRE

One football simulator for every question the season creates

Explore the projected Premier League table, team-by-team outcome probabilities, every fixture and the transparent evidence behind the model. Forecasts update when verified results, availability and confirmed transfers materially change the season.

01 · PREDICTED TABLE

Premier League predictions

Title, top-four, European qualification and relegation chances from 100,000 complete season simulations.

Explore the 2026/27 forecast →02 · EVERY FIXTURE

Premier League match predictions

Opening weekend and all 38 matchweeks, with win, draw, score, BTTS and over 2.5 probabilities for every fixture.

Explore every match →03 · TRANSPARENT MODEL

How HORIZON works

Inspect the inputs, simulation design, evidence hierarchy, uncertainty and limitations behind every published probability.

Read the methodology →04 · LATEST SIGNAL

Football model updates

See what changed, why it mattered and how the latest verified event moved the title, qualification or relegation forecast.

See the latest update →05 · TODAY'S BOARD

Football predictions today

Verified fixtures across supported competitions, with 1X2, expected goals, likely score and model fair odds.

Open today's probability board →06 · MODEL ANALYSIS

What changed and why

A permanent archive of verified result, confirmed transfer and clearly labelled hypothetical analysis.

Explore the analysis archive →